Based on the formula above, here are estimated three-digit scores for common performance markers: Incorrect Answers Estimated 3-Digit Score Accuracy and Predictivity
Alex stared at the number—74%. But what did that mean for the actual The Hunt for the Formula The search began. Alex opened Reddit, specifically nbme 9 offline score conversion
| Raw Correct (out of 200) | % Correct | Predicted 3-Digit Score | Step 1 Interpretation | |--------------------------|-----------|-------------------------|----------------------| | 100 | 50% | 172 | Very low risk of passing | | 110 | 55% | 182 | High risk of failing | | | 60% | 194 | Near passing (±2) | | 124 | 62% | 198 | Low pass (safe margin) | | 130 | 65% | 207 | Passing but borderline | | 140 | 70% | 216 | Average for Step 1 | | 150 | 75% | 226 | Good score | | 160 | 80% | 236 | Above average | | 170 | 85% | 246 | Excellent | | 180 | 90% | 255 | Outstanding | | 190 | 95% | 265 | Top percentile | Based on the formula above, here are estimated
However, because NBME 9 is a fixed form (not adaptive like UWSA), the community has reverse-engineered the curve. NBME 9 contains 200 questions. Historically, the exam’s "equating" process translates raw correct answers into a 3-digit score. NBME 9 contains 200 questions
| Raw Correct | Estimated 3-Digit | |-------------|-------------------| | 150 | 245 | | 140 | 235 | | 130 | 225 | | 120 | 215 | | 114 | 209 (passing) | | 110 | 205 (fail) |